Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.016502 0.019206 0.022192 0.025733 0.029812 0.034362 0.039821
2025-12-14 0.011859 0.015184 0.019198 0.024389 0.030915 0.038834 0.049165
2025-12-21 0.009152 0.012730 0.017395 0.023897 0.032701 0.044178 0.060248
2025-12-28 0.007804 0.011671 0.017060 0.025078 0.036650 0.052690 0.076543
2026-01-04 0.006637 0.010596 0.016454 0.025689 0.039799 0.060445 0.092822
2026-01-11 0.005425 0.009200 0.015106 0.024926 0.040731 0.065029 0.105014
2026-01-18 0.004587 0.008223 0.014208 0.024654 0.042281 0.070614 0.119308
2026-01-25 0.003850 0.007272 0.013178 0.023967 0.042991 0.074864 0.131887
2026-02-01 0.003288 0.006522 0.012360 0.023485 0.043921 0.079498 0.145554
2026-02-08 0.002861 0.005942 0.011743 0.023246 0.045198 0.084802 0.160912
2026-02-15 0.002459 0.005340 0.010987 0.022622 0.045654 0.088645 0.174019
2026-02-22 0.002287 0.005172 0.011038 0.023547 0.049139 0.098394 0.199125
2026-03-01 0.002033 0.004795 0.010627 0.023518 0.050802 0.104993 0.219211
2026-03-08 0.001746 0.004297 0.009892 0.022707 0.050768 0.108275 0.233169
2026-03-15 0.001545 0.003960 0.009451 0.022462 0.051880 0.113975 0.252692
2026-03-22 0.001474 0.003918 0.009661 0.023691 0.056340 0.127108 0.289240
2026-03-29 0.001370 0.003776 0.009618 0.024331 0.059563 0.137957 0.322093
2026-04-05 0.001199 0.003435 0.009048 0.023638 0.059621 0.141879 0.340115
2026-04-12 0.001075 0.003193 0.008685 0.023395 0.060705 0.148210 0.364263
2026-04-19 0.000947 0.002917 0.008192 0.022749 0.060720 0.152063 0.383084
2026-04-26 0.000843 0.002690 0.007795 0.022295 0.061146 0.156922 0.404810
2026-05-03 0.000761 0.002513 0.007501 0.022069 0.062124 0.163205 0.430655
2026-05-10 0.000675 0.002306 0.007095 0.021477 0.062057 0.166889 0.450444